Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000062 0.000072 0.000082 0.000094 0.000107 0.000121 0.000136
2024-12-22 0.000049 0.000061 0.000076 0.000093 0.000112 0.000134 0.000160
2024-12-29 0.000040 0.000054 0.000071 0.000091 0.000116 0.000145 0.000180
2025-01-05 0.000033 0.000048 0.000066 0.000090 0.000119 0.000154 0.000197
2025-01-12 0.000027 0.000042 0.000061 0.000087 0.000120 0.000160 0.000211
2025-01-19 0.000022 0.000036 0.000056 0.000083 0.000119 0.000163 0.000221
2025-01-26 0.000018 0.000032 0.000052 0.000081 0.000120 0.000168 0.000233
2025-02-02 0.000016 0.000031 0.000052 0.000084 0.000126 0.000181 0.000254
2025-02-09 0.000014 0.000029 0.000051 0.000083 0.000129 0.000189 0.000270
2025-02-16 0.000014 0.000029 0.000053 0.000088 0.000139 0.000206 0.000297
2025-02-23 0.000012 0.000027 0.000051 0.000088 0.000142 0.000214 0.000313
2025-03-02 0.000010 0.000024 0.000047 0.000085 0.000140 0.000215 0.000320
2025-03-09 0.000008 0.000022 0.000046 0.000085 0.000144 0.000225 0.000340
2025-03-16 0.000007 0.000020 0.000043 0.000083 0.000145 0.000232 0.000357
2025-03-23 0.000006 0.000018 0.000041 0.000082 0.000147 0.000240 0.000374
2025-03-30 0.000004 0.000016 0.000039 0.000081 0.000149 0.000246 0.000391
2025-04-06 0.000003 0.000014 0.000036 0.000078 0.000148 0.000250 0.000403
2025-04-13 0.000003 0.000012 0.000033 0.000075 0.000146 0.000251 0.000411
2025-04-20 0.000002 0.000010 0.000031 0.000073 0.000145 0.000255 0.000423
2025-04-27 0.000002 0.000010 0.000031 0.000075 0.000152 0.000270 0.000451
2025-05-04 0.000001 0.000009 0.000030 0.000075 0.000155 0.000279 0.000471
2025-05-11 0.000001 0.000009 0.000031 0.000079 0.000166 0.000299 0.000508
2025-05-18 0.000001 0.000009 0.000031 0.000079 0.000168 0.000308 0.000528